|
Age groups
|
Drowning cumulative incidence
per 100,000 children per age category and year†
|
Model of hypothetical population of a total of 100,000 children exposed to crèches per year‡
|
|---|
|
Cumulative incidence
|
95% CI
|
Hypothetical population*
|
Total deaths
|
95% CI
|
SD
|
|---|
|
Status-quo
|
|
12–23 months old
|
125.45
|
87.19
|
180.47
|
32,898
|
41.27
|
28.68
|
59.37
|
7.83
|
|
24–35 months old
|
107.10
|
72.93
|
157.26
|
34,548
|
37.00
|
25.20
|
54.33
|
7.43
|
|
36–47 months old
|
100.55
|
66.82
|
151.26
|
32,554
|
32.73
|
21.75
|
49.24
|
7.01
|
|
Total
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
100,000
|
111.00
|
75.63
|
162.94
|
22.27
|
|
Crèches
|
|
12–23 months old
|
34.00
|
13.00
|
90.00
|
32,898
|
11.19
|
4.28
|
29.61
|
6.46
|
|
24–35 months old
|
9.00
|
2.00
|
36.00
|
34,548
|
3.11
|
0.69
|
12.44
|
3.00
|
|
36–47 months old
|
4.00
|
0.20
|
60.00
|
32,554
|
1.30
|
0.07
|
19.53
|
4.97
|
|
Total
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
100,000
|
15.60
|
5.03
|
61.58
|
14.42
|
|
Change
| | | |
Hypothetical population*
|
Lives saved
|
95% CI
|
SD
|
|---|
|
12–23 months old
| | | |
32,898
|
30.09
|
24.41
|
29.76
|
1.37
|
|
24–35 months old
| | | |
34,548
|
33.89
|
24.50
|
41.89
|
4.44
|
|
36–47 months old
| | | |
32,554
|
31.43
|
21.69
|
29.71
|
2.05
|
|
Total
|
100,000
|
95.41
|
70.60
|
101.36
|
7.85
|
- †Data from Alonge et al. (2020)
- ‡Author's calculations
- *Out of 100,000 children in Bangladesh 32.90% were 12 to 23 months old, 34.55% were 24 to 35 months old, and 32.55% were 36 to 47 months old, source is Alonge et al. (2020)
