Cost-effectiveness analysis of a large-scale crèche intervention to prevent child drowning in rural Bangladesh

Table 1 Population parameters

Age groups	Drowning cumulative incidence per 100,000 children per age category and year^†			Model of hypothetical population of a total of 100,000 children exposed to crèches per year^‡
Age groups	Cumulative incidence	95% CI		Hypothetical population*	Total deaths	95% CI		SD
Status-quo
12–23 months old	125.45	87.19	180.47	32,898	41.27	28.68	59.37	7.83
24–35 months old	107.10	72.93	157.26	34,548	37.00	25.20	54.33	7.43
36–47 months old	100.55	66.82	151.26	32,554	32.73	21.75	49.24	7.01
Total	–	–	–	100,000	111.00	75.63	162.94	22.27
Crèches
12–23 months old	34.00	13.00	90.00	32,898	11.19	4.28	29.61	6.46
24–35 months old	9.00	2.00	36.00	34,548	3.11	0.69	12.44	3.00
36–47 months old	4.00	0.20	60.00	32,554	1.30	0.07	19.53	4.97
Total	–	–	–	100,000	15.60	5.03	61.58	14.42

Change	Hypothetical population*	Lives saved	95% CI		SD
12–23 months old	32,898	30.09	24.41	29.76	1.37
24–35 months old	34,548	33.89	24.50	41.89	4.44
36–47 months old	32,554	31.43	21.69	29.71	2.05
Total	100,000	95.41	70.60	101.36	7.85

^†Data from Alonge et al. (2020)
^‡Author's calculations
*Out of 100,000 children in Bangladesh 32.90% were 12 to 23 months old, 34.55% were 24 to 35 months old, and 32.55% were 36 to 47 months old, source is Alonge et al. (2020)

ISSN: 2197-1714