Skip to main content

Table 1 Annualized estimates of homicide and suicide, substance-related arrests and misdemeanors, and firearm carrying and ownership from the agent-based model and empirical data sources

From: Would restricting firearm purchases due to alcohol- and drug-related misdemeanor offenses reduce firearm homicide and suicide? An agent-based simulation

  Model estimates (95% CI)a Empirical estimates
Firearm-related homicide (rate/100,000) 4.11 (4.09, 4.14) 3.96b
Firearm-related suicide (rate/100,000) 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) 0.98b
Alcohol-related misdemeanor (rate/100,000) 115.1 (114.9, 115.2) 116.1c
Alcohol-related arrest (rate/100,000) 134.7 (134.6, 134.7) 134.9c
Drug-related misdemeanor (rate/100,000) 525.0 (524.6, 525.4) 525.7c
Drug-related arrest (rate/100,000) 1,329.0 (1,328.1, 1,329.9) 1.329.1c
Firearm ownership (%) 21.94 (21.91, 21.95) 22.03d
Firearm carrying status (%) 3.92 (3.91, 3.92) 3.94d
  1. aMean and 95% CI from 100 runs of ABM
  2. bCDC WONDER. Underlying Cause of Death (2008–2014)
  3. cNew York State Division of Criminal Justice Services (DCJS, 2011–2014)
  4. dNational Comorbidity Survey Replication (NCS-R, 2001–2003)